The Buffalo Bills did land a tight end at the 2025 NFL draft, however, Dalton Kincaid’s outlook is still being held in a positive light by Pro Football Focus.
The football analytics outlet named every NFL team’s “breakout candidate” following the draft. For the Bills, it was Kincaid.
While Buffalo did land a tight end at the draft in Georgia Tech’s Jackson Hawes via a fifth-round pick, he’s not a prospect that will push Kincaid or Dawson Knox.
Hawes is not a playmaker. In 2024, Hawes only mustered up 16 catches for 195 yards in 12 games played.
Hawes’ value comes from blocking and that’s where he will be useful to the Bills. That could certainly open the door for Kincaid.
PFF’s full breakdown on Kincaid can be found below:
Kincaid missed time due to injury in Year 2 and wasn’t able to surpass his rookie receiving numbers, however, his efficiency did improve slightly, including his yards per reception (10.4), yards per route run (1.54) and receiving grade (71.1). With the Bills not adding significant target competition to the offense this offseason, Kincaid will have another opportunity to be the team’s top target in the passing game. Similarly to the previously mentioned Marvin Harrison Jr., Kincaid’s poor catchable pass rate leaves a lot of room for positive regression and an opportunity for his best season so far.